- Department: The York Management School
- Credit value: 20 credits
- Credit level: H
- Academic year of delivery: 2023-24
- See module specification for other years: 2024-25
The aim of the module is to expose students to a number of advanced statistical topics that are used in actuarial science and quantitative risk management, including Bayesian inferential procedures, credibility theory, extreme value theory, the modelling of dependent risks and machine learning
Occurrence | Teaching period |
---|---|
A | Semester 1 2023-24 |
The aim of the module is to expose students to a number of advanced statistical topics that are used in actuarial science and are part of the professional syllabus, including generalised linear models (GLMs), machine learning, extreme value theory, the modelling of dependent risks and mortality projection models.
After successful completion the student is able to:
Subject content
explain the main theory and concepts of generalised linear models (GLMs);
apply GLMs to data and demonstrate knowledge of their importance in actuarial applications;
demonstrate knowledge of the main concepts of machine learning and explain their relevance to actuarial science;
demonstrate understanding of the main ideas of extreme value theory and apply these to actuarial loss modelling problems;
explain how dependence may be modelled at a deeper level than correlation and apply copulas to dependence modelling problems;
apply mortality projection models to data including the Lee-Carter model
Academic and graduate skills
present statistical analyses in a logical, rigorous, and concise way.
strict logical reasoning from assumptions to conclusion;
critically assess assumptions necessary to draw certain conclusions.
Syllabus:
Generalised linear models (GLMs)
Introduction to machine learning
Extreme value theory (EVT)
Copulas and dependence
Mortality projection
Task | % of module mark |
---|---|
Closed/in-person Exam (Centrally scheduled) | 70 |
Essay/coursework | 30 |
None
Task | % of module mark |
---|---|
Closed/in-person Exam (Centrally scheduled) | 70 |
Essay/coursework | 30 |
Students will receive feedback within three weeks of the hand-in problem sets. The feedback will be handed to students personally and takes the form of comments and suggestions for improvement written on the handed in work.
McCullagh and Nelder (1989), Generalized Linear Models (2nd ed), Chapman and Hall/CRC
Friedman, Tibshirani, Hastie (2009), The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference and Prediction, Springer Verlag
McNeil, A, Frey, R and Embrechts, P (2016), “Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques & Tools” (2nd ed), Princeton University Press.