Posted on 24 November 2008
Understanding the way different parts of the environment will react is one of the key challenges to emerge from the growing evidence that the world is warming as a result of human activity.
It is known that plants adjust to the temperatures in which they have grown. In particular, plants change their respiration rates in a process known as thermal acclimation.
Respiration produces carbon dioxide, a main cause of global warming, and scientists hoped that as plants adjust to rising temperature they would release less of the gas into the atmosphere.
However, the new research, published in the journal Global Change Biology, shows that although thermal acclimation will reduce respiration in some parts of the world – such as the Amazonian rainforests – most other regions will respire more. The overall effect in the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is therefore likely to be negligible.
Dr Jon Pitchford, of the University’s Departments of Biology and Mathematics and one of the authors of the research, said: "These findings strengthen the case of those warning about the dangers posed by climate change.
"They challenge the idea that the planet’s plant life will adjust to increased temperatures in a uniform fashion that will, in turn, help ameliorate global warming.
"Further research is now needed to establish whether photosynthesis, the other key process in plants where carbon dioxide is absorbed and oxygen is released, will follow the same pattern."
Nineteen plant species were grown at a range of temperatures and their responses measured. These data were then scaled up to ecosystem level using mathematical models, and fed into computer simulations that map vegetation and climate change.
The experiments at York were led by Dr Owen Atkin working with the York Centre for Complex Systems Analysis, which brings together scientists from different disciplines.
The research also involved collaboration with experts in global simulation at the University of Sheffield, as part of a programme on quantifying Earth system processes and climate feedbacks funded by the Natural Environment Research Council, and Umeå University, Sweden.
ENDS