Accessibility statement

KITE Resources

 


AFRICLIM provides high-resolution ensemble climate projections for Africa. The spatial database includes monthly grids of temperature and rainfall, and derived bioclimatic summary variables such as moisture indices and dry season length.

Version 3.0 of the database spans ten general circulation models (GCMs), downscaled using five regional climate models (RCMs) and four contemporary baselines, under two representative concentration pathways of the IPCC-AR5 (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Methods are otherwise as described in Platts et al. (2015).

RCM outputs are bias-corrected and change-factor downscaled using four high-resolution baseline climatologies: CRU CL 2.0 (1961-1990), WorldClim v1.4 (1950-2000), TAMSAT TARCAT v2.0 (1983-2012) and CHIRPS v1.8 (1983-2012). CRU and WorldClim are interpolated from station data, whereas TAMSAT and CHIRPS combine rain gauge data with satellite observations to improve accuracy where in situ rainfall measurements are sparse.

Monthly means, summary variables and multimodel ensembles are provided for the middle (2041-2070) and late (2071-2100) 21st century at a range of high-spatial resolutions: 10' (18.6 km at the equator), 5' (9.3 km), 2.5' (4.6 km), 1' (1.9 km) and 30" (928 m), with the highest resolution determined by the baseline climatology. TAMSAT and CHIRPS were resampled (bilinear) to 2.5' from native resolutions of 2.25' and 3' respectively.

Data download

The archives linked below contain sets of GeoTIFFs. The maps use a geographic coordinate system (WGS1984) which is embedded in the files. To explore the maps, you will need a GIS program such as QGIS or the R raster package.

The following variables are available: monthly precipitation (pr); monthly 2-metre air temperature (tas); monthly averages of daily minimum (tasmin) and daily maximum (tasmax) air temperatures; annual and seasonal summary variables relating to temperature (tbio) and moisture (mbio).

See the README for variable definitions, nomenclature and units.
 

Baseline climatology
For comparison with AR5 projections

Baseline year [mean over]Spatial resolution
CRU CL 2.0 1975 [1961-1990] 10'   -    -    -    -
WorldClim v1.4 1975 [1950-2000] 10'  5'  2.5'  1'  30"
TAMSAT TARCAT v2.0 (rainfall only) 2000 [1983-2012] 10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
CHIRPS v1.8 (rainfall only) 2000 [1983-2012] 10'  5'  2.5'   -    -

 

AFRICLIM-ENSEMBLES 3.0BaselineEmissions
pathway
Future year
[mean over]
Spatial
resolution

Summary statistics (mean, min, max)
over 18 pairwise combinations of five
RCMs driven by ten GCMs

Regional models: CCCma-CanRCM4_r2,
CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17_v1 (4 GCMs),
DMI-HIRHAM5_v2, KNMI-RACMO22T_v1
(2 GCMs), SMHI-RCA4_v1 (10 GCMs)

Driving GCMs: CCCma-CanESM2,
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5,
CSIRO-QCCCE-CSIRO-Mk3-6-0,
ICHEC-EC-EARTH, 
IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR,
MIROC-MIROC5, 
MOHC-HadGEM2-ES,
MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR, 
NCC-NorESM1-M,
NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2M

CRU RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
WorldClim RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'  5'  2.5'  1'  30"
10'  5'  2.5'  1'  30"†
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'  5'  2.5'  1'  30"†
10'  5'  2.5'  1'  30"
TAMSAT
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
CHIRPS
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -
10'  5'  2.5'   -    -

  

 

Individual model resultsBaselineEmissions
pathway
Future year
[mean over]
Spatial
resolution

Swedish Meteorological and
Hydrological Institute (SMHI)

Regional model: SMHI-RCA4_v1

Driving GCMs: CCCma-CanESM2,
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5,
CSIRO-QCCCE-CSIRO-Mk3-6-0,
ICHEC-EC-EARTH,
IPSL-IPSL-CM5A-MR,
MIROC-MIROC5, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES,
MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR,
NCC-NorESM1-M,
NOAA-GFDL-GFDL-ESM2M

CRU RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
WorldClim RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'  1'  30"
1052.5'  1'  30"
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
TAMSAT
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
CHIRPS
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -

Canadian Centre for Climate
Modelling and Analysis (CCCma)

Regional model: CCCma-CanRCM4_r2

Driving GCM: CCCma-CanESM2

 

 

 

 

CRU RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
WorldClim RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
TAMSAT
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
CHIRPS
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -

Danish Meteorological
Institute (DMI)

Regional model: DMI-HIRHAM5_v2

Driving GCM: ICHEC-EC-EARTH

CRU RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
WorldClim RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
TAMSAT
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
CHIRPS
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -

Royal Netherlands Meteorological
Institute (KNMI)

Regional model: KNMI-RACMO22T_v1

Driving GCMs: ICHEC-EC-EARTH,
MOHC-HadGEM2-ES

CRU RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
WorldClim RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
TAMSAT
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
CHIRPS
RCP4.5  2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -

Climate Limited-area
Modelling-Community (CLMcom)

Regional model: CLMcom-CCLM4-8-17_v1

Driving GCMs: CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5,
ICHEC-EC-EARTH, MOHC-HadGEM2-ES,
MPI-M-MPI-ESM-LR

CRU RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
10'   -    -    -    -
10'   -    -    -    -
WorldClim RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5130"
1052.5130"
TAMSAT
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
CHIRPS
RCP4.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -
RCP8.5 2055 [2041-2070]
2085 [2071-2000]
1052.5'   -    -
1052.5'   -    -

 

 

Platts PJ, Omeny PA, Marchant R (2015). AFRICLIM: high-resolution climate projections for ecological applications in Africa. African Journal of Ecology 53, 103-108 [PDF]

Platts PJ, Omeny PA, Marchant R (2015). AFRICLIM 3.0: high-resolution ensemble climate projections for Africa. figshare, doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.1284624


Funded by Ministry for Foreign Affairs of Finland through the CHIESA project. RCM outputs were made available by various regional centres through the CORDEX initiative. Regional projections were further downscaled using data from the Climatic Research Unit (University of East Anglia), WorldClim (University of California / CIAT), TAMSAT Research Group (University of Reading) and the Climate Hazards Group (University of California / USGS).